Election 2020: what the data tell us | The Economist

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The presidential election has been transformed by data. From key swing states and early voting to voter suppression and possible election-night chaos, Elliott Morris, our data journalist and election guru, discusses his polling predictions and answers your questions about the 2020 race for the White House.

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00:00 – An unprecedented election
00:35 – Why should we trust election predictions?
02:03 – How will the pandemic affect election predictions?
03:04 – Voter turnout in swing states
03:55 – Why we don’t use early voting data in our forecast
05:14 – Mail-in ballot rejection rates
07:38 – How long can we expect to wait for the results?
08:42 – Could the results flip after all mail-in ballots are counted?
09:39 – Will Americans accept the election result?

Further reading:

Find the Economist’s coverage of the US elections here: https://www.economist.com/us-election-2020

Sign up to The Economist’s daily newsletter to keep up to date with our latest US election coverage: https://econ.st/3l79OHi

Find The Economist’s most recent coverage of covid-19 here: https://econ.st/2CQRUr2

Sign up to The Economist’s weekly “Checks and Balance” newsletter to keep up to date with our coverage of American politics: https://econ.st/3l5C4dl

Read about concerns surrounding voter suppression in America: https://econ.st/3do8tII

Why Amy Coney Barrett’s supreme court nomination is so contentious: https://econ.st/3lLyhRT

Read about how religious partisanship is influencing American politics: https://econ.st/2SUKnvS

Read about the foreign and domestic risks that plague America’s 2020 elections: https://econ.st/3nPbKFJ”

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